InsightOnion

    The U.S. stock market is reeling from a sharp selloff on October 10, 2025, triggered by President Donald Trump’s announcement of “massive” new tariffs on Chinese imports, escalating Trade War 2.0 fears. The S&P 500 plunged 2.71%, the Nasdaq dropped 3.56%, and the Dow fell 1.90%—its worst day since April—wiping out weekly gains and sending the VIX volatility index to its highest close since June. Tech giants like Nvidia and AMD tumbled over 5%, while rare earth stocks surged on supply chain jitters. Against this backdrop, the odds of a Federal Reserve rate cut at its October 28-29 meeting have skyrocketed to 98.3% according to CME FedWatch data, up from around 96% just days ago. This near-certainty reflects the Fed’s growing concerns over a softening labor market, exacerbated by the government shutdown delaying key jobs data and tariff-induced economic uncertainty. In this post, we’ll break down why probabilities jumped, what it signals for the economy, and—crucially—ho...

      In a dramatic turn of events that sent shockwaves through global financial markets, President Donald Trump’s announcement of a 100% tariff on Chinese imports has triggered the largest cryptocurrency liquidation in history, wiping out over $19 billion in leveraged positions. This unprecedented sell-off, occurring on October 10-11, 2025, affected more than 1.6 million traders and erased hundreds of billions from the total crypto market capitalization, highlighting the fragility of digital assets amid geopolitical tensions. Background on the Tariff Announcement The escalation stems from ongoing US-China trade frictions, with Trump responding to what he described as China’s “aggressive” export controls on rare earth minerals and other critical products. On October 10, Trump posted on X (formerly Twitter) that the US would impose the additional 100% tariff effective November 1, over and above existing duties, along with new export controls on critical software. This move...